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发表于 2007-6-20 22:35 | 显示全部楼层
https://www.y2cn.com
GG,我在10665入的USDCAD,刚才10680出来了+15 同喜
勤能补拙 向JJ学习 向校长学习
司令很帅,校长很美!
 楼主| 发表于 2007-6-20 22:53 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 szc 于 2007-6-20 09:35 发表
GG,我在10665入的USDCAD,刚才10680出来了+15 同喜

有赚就好!跑的好快
 楼主| 发表于 2007-6-20 22:56 | 显示全部楼层
USD/CAD: Rally Stalls, US Yields Off Highs

Boston, June 20.


US yields are off their highest levels of the day, helping arrest the rally in the greenback. Dealers note a couple of the Canadian domestic banks issuing economic outlooks for the summer months and they each see multiple rate hikes ahead from the BOC, the consensus stance among the market.
    USD/CAD has eased back to 1.0665, a modest area of resistance on the way back up this morning. 1.0615/20 remains support with more at 1.0605 and 1.0590. Resistance lies at 1.0710 on rallies.

多次加息?不是BOC疯了,就是那两家银行疯了。。。

其实,市场就是由一群疯子构成的。。。没有消息炒作的市场,就不构成市场。。。没有波动的市场,就像一潭死水,会臭掉。。。

拭目以待。。。

[ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-20 09:57 编辑 ]
发表于 2007-6-20 22:58 | 显示全部楼层
我挂1.0615多美加0.1
领悟
 楼主| 发表于 2007-6-20 23:02 | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 看看学学 于 2007-6-20 09:58 发表
我挂1.0615多美加0.1

聪明的做法。。。

提示一句: 1.0615是有支撑的,下方就有止损盘,但是1.0605-1.0590还有支撑。到时候会震荡一段时间,若下破就看1.0550,再破就看1.0500的期权防御了。再破,就没底喽。。。到时候就看oo,BB的表现了。

CAD还是比较复杂的,石油是关键,加息近期更关键。。。USD减息预期还存在,房产+房贷市场继续疲软。。。

空USD/CAD,能否成为套息交易的新宠。。。?

目前U/C上方压力:1.0710。

[ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-20 10:09 编辑 ]
 楼主| 发表于 2007-6-20 23:29 | 显示全部楼层
USD/CAD: Loonie Withstands Oil Drop

Boston, June 20.

USD/CAD is eaxing and waning of is own accord today, not paying much attention to the related markets which oftn help drive prices. Case in point: oil prices are down a buck in the wake of a huge rise in US oil inventories but the Loonie has strengthened since the release of the data. USD/CAD is down to 1.0657 from 1.0685 in the run up to the EIA report. Bids are eyed on dips to 1.0615/20 near-term.

加元逆行,小心撞车!看的出来CAD的多头有多强大了。。。前几天,积累的多头,体现出来了。。。

CAD的炒作脱离了OIL,反正用多头的话讲,我就是要多,能那我奈何。。。?

CAD多头大体现在C/J上,更高的收益。。。 谁不干!

越是这时,越要紧紧观察CAD多头平仓迹象,retail还在不停地多U/C,funds and bank 还在增加U/C空头。等等看吧,好戏快上场了。。。

很可能引发retail仓位坎仓,爆仓。。。然后就是基金顺势平仓。。。呵呵,这里头的事,黑着呢。。。

希望小鱼不要被大鱼尽快吃掉就好。所以小鱼最要具备的就是要有自己的杀手锏:资金管理。而大鱼的杀手锏就是:混淆市场 + 消息炒作 + 资金雄厚。。。

现在看来retail市场,还是多U/C,什么时候,大家受不了,部分人(不一定是小部分吆)转为空U/C,机会就来了。。。


希望CAD要升,就升破1.0550。。。


个人浅见。。。


[ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-20 10:34 编辑 ]
 楼主| 发表于 2007-6-20 23:41 | 显示全部楼层
看看零售市场,UAD/CAD的多头有多少?!

多头比例是所有货币对中最高的。。。

不一定准,只做参考。。。


Open Position Ratios

The left graph depicts the ratio of long positions to short positions, identifying whether customers are more long or more short, and by how much. The right graph depicts the ratio of positions for each currency pair (both long and short) relative to the number of all positions for currency pairs represented in the graph.

[ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-20 10:43 编辑 ]
OPR.png
 楼主| 发表于 2007-6-20 23:54 | 显示全部楼层
USD/CAD: Choppy Dealing as Prices Fall Back in Range
Boston, June 20.

After running into Canadian corporate selling above 1.0680, USD/CAD has come under renewed pressure. The Loonie is shrugging off a significant pullback in oil prices, a rise in US yields and a complains from provincial officials to the Bank of Canada to curb the strength of the Loonie to rebound to 1.0636 so far. 1.0615/20 is solid support on dips with more laddered down at 1.0605 and 1.0590. 1.0685/90 is resistance on rebounds near-term.
发表于 2007-6-21 07:01 | 显示全部楼层
GG早上好,我一早就爬起来看您的加元分析呢,精彩!
勤能补拙 向JJ学习 向校长学习
司令很帅,校长很美!
发表于 2007-6-21 07:09 | 显示全部楼层

回复 #239 szc 的帖子

你没上QQ呀,你也变成GG的铁杆粉丝了h:
领悟

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