Trading is Believing

	原帖由 jean007 于 2007-7-9 09:17 发表 The Sensor Technology Information Exchange (SenTIX) is a communication tool for the sensor community.

	欧元借英镑的好数据，冲到半路又不冲了，真是郁闷。。。害得我半夜起来，还以为发生什么大事了。。。 短期不破3665，还是个瞎折腾。。。继续闷！

	1.3665 Short EUR/USD 3115x8 UNITS。 Sell Market Filled。 Trading Range： 1.3715 -- 1.3630。 oo的风险期到来了，主意把握好仓位及止赢止损位。。。 准备1.3630减仓80%。。。 欧元准备摸前高了。。。1.3655-60有买盘，止损在1.3640。 EUR/USD: Briefly Knocking On The Door Of New Record Highs London, July 10. Early U.S input has forced the Dollar lower across the board with Cable at new session highs and USD/JPY under 123.00. For EUR/USD the market is in striking distance of the 1.3683 all time high. The buying changed up a gear from levels around 1.3655 and the run has reached offers in the 1.3675-78 area. A slight pullback to 1.3667-70 seen and it remains to be seen if the New York market has bought the market up only to sell it heavily from the better levels. Expect to see fresh bids emerge at the 1.3655-60 area and for stops below 1.3640.

	1.3715 Short EUR/USD 3115x16 UNITS。 Sell Market Filled。 这是最后一仓。。。 个人注意把握好仓位及止赢止损位。。。 准备1.3680减仓78%。。。 深度检讨，此次做空oo的战略是错误的。。。 Fibo projected top at 1.3820 stands ahead of the ambitious 2% MA envelope target. Eying prior peaks at 1.3685 and 1.3660 as supports. EUR/USD: Stops Run, Greenback Purge Pauses, What Next? New York, July 10.     Amidst reports that a large Swiss bank bought almost a yard of Euro when the single currency blew through 1.3700, as well as reports of some decent buying at lower levels by a Latin American central bank, EUR/USD is doing exactly what it shouldn't, hovering in one spot close to 1.3720. RSIs are extended on hourly and daily studies, where they reside in the 80s, and even the weekly RSI is getting up there, just a smidge below 74.0, vs Welles Wilder's overbought level of 75.0.     Traders are stumped, momentum traders are itching to sell but afraid, and leveraged accounts remain long, but not as long as they were. The heavy buyer that was determined to drive EUR/USD through the old highs, and almost failed in its pre-July 4th attack has prevailed, and once again a hard fought campaign in thin markets has rewarded the perpetrator, just as it did last Thanksgiving. It does beg a question whether the central banks want to set a precedent that anyone with large enough pockets can bully the currencies wherever they want, however in a world committed to "free trading" (well maybe not in goods and services as we have seen in the latest Doha round) it seems to be the accepted norm.     So we have a new "all time high" does this open the floodgate for more to come, or do we repeat the April action, make a new high then squander it away over the next six weeks. Last time the pull back was just over 400pts. This latest bout of dollar weakness is being attributed to the worries over S&P's downgrading of hundreds of securities backed by sub-prime loans - horses bolting and stable doors closing comes to mind. FX vols do not reflect heightened concerns (1-mth EUR/USD 5.3/5.5) and the stock markets are only modestly lower, down 0.3-0.4%. The next move will be flow driven, and the question is will it be the bulls or the bears behind the wheel. For now some sideways chop, or even downward ebb should be expected. [ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-7-10 12:22 编辑 ]

	EUR/USD: Custodial Banks Report Real Money & Black Box Buyers New York, July 10. Custodial banks report that they have seen a steady flow of EUR buying from custodial accounts over the past week, continuing into today's session; as well as momentum account buying, and some "black box" types. It seems most bases are covered, and that few, if any have been left out of this rally, so it really would be a surprise to see EUR/USD go much higher on the day. The slow stochastics are rolling over on the hourly, and RSI is starting to dip, but remains elevated around 81.0. Look for an unwind before buying any more Euro.

	欧元所有均线向上，日图虽显示超买，但总在高位盘整，不排除小幅回调后，修正指标，走单边的迹象。。。 看看前期加元走势就知。。。 若是单边，则上面极限的空间600-800点。。。 这周美国的数据预期都不支持美元反弹。。。加上美国爆出房产信贷危机，S&P 500降低相关信贷的信用等级，极为不利美元。。。。就看美指能否挣扎着保住最后一根稻草。。。 欧元的强势已经很明显，除非欧洲喊话受不了，否则。。。一直上！美国一直都在偷偷的乐。。。 [ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-7-11 04:43 编辑 ]

	macd钝化严重 还不知道升到什么时候呢

	1.3760 LONG EUR/USD 3115 UNITS。Buy Market Filled。 Trading Range： 1.3710 -- 1.3795。 多EUR！。。。

	原帖由 ForexGG 于 2007-7-11 23:13 发表 1.3760 LONG EUR/USD 3115 UNITS。Buy Market Filled。 Trading Range： 1.3710 -- 1.3795。 多EUR！。。。 支持做多!