11 - 13 - 08 Euro/Usd (short term)

Sure it is.
Wave B in either flat or zigzag correction pattern could be very complicated.
In other words, if you couldn't distinguish or understand what is the price moving pattern, it is most likely in contructing wave B.

Moving pattern given in top's chart is still valid, especially price upside moving is blocked by 1.2927.

[ 本帖最后由 sharkeater 于 2008-11-14 23:53 编辑 ]

老师，欧元回调的比较深，我在1.27损了以后反手做多了，损放1.26合适吗，目标为您指出的的1.3117？

Don't take any analysis as grant. An analysis gives you only a list of likehoods, even a quiet sophisticated one.

Carefully selecting one of likehoods, make your own trade plan. As you intend to carry out a trade, better to enter at both ends of any specified likehood.
For example, assume it is true  the case on top's chart, price is limited by 1.2927,  then  short this pair within 1.2850 -- 1.2900 with stop loss above 1.2927, target :
1) treat following downside moving as correction --- 0.5;, 0.618; 0.786; ... other Fib ratios, then 1.2384, as the first target ;
2) as price below 1.2384, consider the price is forming diagonal triangle moving pattern started from 1.3117, then watch down distance no less than 543 dips (1.2927 --- 1.2384) due to subwave c - 5 > c - 3 in expanding variety diagonal triangle moving pattern.


similar to above in making your own trade plan if try other likehood.


Don't enter in the mid way if you are not sure

[ 本帖最后由 sharkeater 于 2008-11-15 04:42 编辑 ]

看不懂

No, sorry.

computer doesn't cooperate.

原帖由 sharkeater 于 2008-11-13 21:03 发表

                               
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The best guess is that this pair is still constructing subwave 4 of higher degree wave started from 9/22/08 high 1.4864.

** going to 1.2800/50, then falling again, most likely below 1.2330, to comp ...

估计汇价仍然在构筑9/22/08高点1.4864以来的第4分浪。

**测试1.2800/50，然后再次下跌，很可能低于1.2330，以完成分浪4b；
**分浪4c的目标未确定，视乎平台修正的类型，即奔走（有译强势）、规则、扩张型。

参考附图。