 | |  | | 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2011-3-3 22:53 编辑
明天非农,具体的分析就不写了。只写数据发布后,可能的4种情况:
Scenario 1 : NFP Exceeds 200k, Unemployment Rate Unchanged or Better – Dollar Positive
情形1: 非农超200K,失业率不变或改善 ---- 有利美元
Scenario 2: NFP Less than 200k, Unemployment Rate ticks Higher, Nominal Revisions – Dollar Negative
情形2: 非农不足200K,失业率上升,正常修正 ---- 不利美元
Scenario 3: NFP Exceeds 200k, Unemployment Rate Increases – Mildly Dollar Positive, Depends on Size of NFP Surprise
情形3: 非农超200K,失业率上升 ---- 稍有利美元,取决于非农的数据的意外程度。
Scenario 4: NFP Less than 200k, Unemployment Rate Unchanged or Better - Nominal Reaction in USD
情形4: 非农不足200K,失业率不变或改善 ---- 美元正常反应
预期:
Change in Non-Farm Payrolls(非农变化): 197K (36K Previous)
Unemployment Rate(失业率): 9.1% (9.0% Previous)
Change in Private Sector Payrolls(私人部门就业): 200K (50K Previous)
Change in Manufacturing Payrolls(制造部门): 25K (49K Previous)
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)(平均时薪): 0.20% (0.40% Previous)
Average Weekly Hours(平均每周工时): 34.3 (34.2 Previous) |  |  |  |  |
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