11 - 15 sharkeater 美元指数的近期，中期，长期势态分析和走势预测

gz-trader · 发表于 2003-11-16 11:26

基本上同意欧元看法,欧元要挑戰美元時間還早,(先從多方面打勝日本),不過,相信0.8是長期底部,1.2以上對欧州損害很大,本身問題太多.美元地位不會変動

sharkeater · 发表于 2003-11-16 11:30

Originally posted by Huibinjia at 2003-11-16 02:20 PM:
我今年五月开始涉足此行，头两月初出牛犊还有盈利。最近两月胆小如鼠，越看分析越害怕。求教斑竹何故。

市场处于的阶段不同，和你的锐气的衰减，更确切说你的成熟。这是一个投机市场，处处风险很大。

晓真 · 发表于 2003-11-16 11:33

谢谢沙斑。

gz-trader · 发表于 2003-11-16 11:39

From the daily chart of view, the MACAD is hitting the 0 and turning down again. Usually, if any failure of MACD 0 line from bottom, the resume of decline will be very sharp.

gz-trader · 发表于 2003-11-16 12:00

From the monthly chart of view, current support is not so strong, I hope the light green support line can hold the fall which is around 87. The RSI is telling me the weak dollar position. MACD is falling without sign of standing still. Both RSI and MACD is hitting the new low. Under such developement, the dollar may take one year or longer to stablize.

michelle · 发表于 2003-11-16 12:15

Originally posted by sharkeater at 2003-11-16 11:30:

市场处于的阶段不同，和你的锐气的衰减，更确切说你的成熟。这是一个投机市场，处处风险很大。

最近光看热闹了。

sharkeater · 发表于 2003-11-16 12:36

Originally posted by 彤云 at 2003-11-16 02:46 PM:
沙版主早！！上周欧元又有新行情出现，欧元上涨，交叉盘也到了127。5以上的关键价位，你认为下周交叉盘受欧/美的影响还有上涨的空间吗，另外，美元还在筑堤，但下周好像仍有探底的趋势。请不吝赐教！！！

没有上涨的空间！在1.1900附近的长期形成的中期顶部压制线不可能形成有效突破。

美元/日元应该有一个中期向上的修正阶段，前期的上行，幅度远远没有达到要求，仅只能作为试探性上行理解。中期上行的目标价位至少应该在115附近，以测试被下破的颈线突破有效性。从更大的画面说，目前日元的上涨，仅仅是改变美元/日元自90年代中期启动的上升趋势的通道角度。不是确立长期上涨的势态。

sharkeater · 发表于 2003-11-16 13:17

再补你一张欧元/日元图

sharkeater · 发表于 2003-11-16 13:21

Originally posted by gz-trader at 2003-11-16 04:39 PM:
From the daily chart of view, the MACAD is hitting the 0 and turning down again. Usually, if any failure of MACD 0 line from bottom, the resume of decline will be very sharp.

GIVE YOUR SUPPORTS FOR YOUR IDEA, PLEASE !

sharkeater · 发表于 2003-11-16 13:36

Originally posted by gz-trader at 2003-11-16 05:00 PM:
From the monthly chart of view, current support is not so strong, I hope the light green support line can hold the fall which is around 87. The RSI is telling me the weak dollar position. MACD is f ...

COME ON, GIVE ME A BREAK!

THE MACD IS TURE TO REACH NEW LOW, HAVE YOU SEEN THE DIF INDICATION? TELL ME WHAT IS THE SUGGESTION, PLEASE!

THE CHART CLEARLY SHOWS THE CURRENT RSI ISN'T AT THE BOTTOM!
SHOULD YOU MISREAD THE CHART, I COULD GIVE YOU A BIG PICTURE TO HELP YOU TO CLEAR YOUR EYES.