５月４日 暴风雨之前总是平静的， 大盘交易以区间为主

隔夜主要经济数据: 1. 欧元4月份采购经理人指数(PMI)为54;预期为53.6; 2. 美国3月份建筑花费为1.5%;预期为0.5% 3. 美国4月份制造业供应管理协会(ISM)指数为62.4; 预期为62.7  

隔夜市场分析: 昨日,欧洲欧元区4月份采购经理人指数(PMI)向好. 美国4月份制造业供应管理协会(ISM)指数并不理想, 非美货币在数据公布后略微上升, 但由于英国,日本都处于公众假期, 没有主要数据出台.市场力度不足, 市场仍为区间交易.  

今日操作建议:密切关注今日美国FOMC会议. 本周随后的澳洲和英国方面的利息公布也是市场关注的焦点. 预计市场将有大幅度波动, 美元中期看强.  

欧元: 昨日,欧元区4月份采购经理人指数(PMI)向好, 欧元仅在美国不太理想的4月份制造业供应管理协会(ISM)指数后有小幅度上探, 后市回落.欧元属于区间交易. 并没有明显方向. 技术方面: 预计欧元中期仍有下跌风险. 阻力位位于1.1980然后是1.2030,支持位为1.1900, 然后是1.1810 预期波动区间: 1.1980-1.1870  

日元:日元属于区间交易. 由于日本仍然处于黄金周假期交易中.交易相对平淡. 技术分析: 支持位在109.50.而上方阻力在111.10.然后是111.50. 预期波动区间: 111.10-109.50  

英镑:由于英国仍然处于长周末, 没有主要数据出台. 美元走向仍然是市场的焦点.英镑跟随欧元为区间交易. 技术分析:英镑倘若不能有效突破1.7810的主要阻力,短期将有下跌压力. 预计 短期上升阻力为1.7810然后是1.7940; 而主力支持位1.7620. 预期波动区间: 1.7940-1.7620  

澳元和纽币:澳,纽币在昨随欧元英镑为区间交易. 虽然澳币本周有加息可能, 但预计中期, 纽,澳币仍有卖盘压力. 技术分析: 澳元主力支持在0.7170附近,然后是0.7080.阻力则为0.7280. 纽元: 支持位位于0.62,( (去年9月低点到今年2月高位的61.8%回调);然后是0.6100附近.阻力则在0.6330. 预期波动区间: 澳元0.7280_0.7120;纽元 0.6330_0.6200  

以上评论完成于AKL6:00AM (GMT+12); Beijing 2:00AM

Yesterday, Euro zoon PMI was out better than expected. Since US ISM was out 62.4, push majors recovering form earlier looses on Monday. Because both UK and Japan was still in holiday, market was still keep in range trading and looks quite.
EURO/USD: Yesterday, Euro zoon PMI was out better than expected. After US out ISM was mildly disappointed, Euro was jump up 50pips, then back to original levels. Overlook all day, euro was range trading.  Technical view: In the middle term euro would still have sell-off risk. Resistance level is 1.1980; support level is 1.1900, and then 1.1810.
Trading range: 1.1900-1.1870
USD/JPY: Yen was also range market. Because of Japan was still in Golden Week holiday, market on Yen was quiet.  Technical view: Major support is above 109.50. Resistance is about 111.10, and then will be 111.50
Trading range: 111.10-109.50
GBP/USD: Followed by Euro leads, sterling was also range trading. Because UK was still in long weekend holiday, there was no economy data out.  Technical view: In short term, Sterling would still have sell-off pressure. The next support level is 1.7620; and the resistance level is near about 1.7810 and 1.7940.
Trading range: 1.7940-1.7620
AUD/USD; NZD/USD: By flowed the lead of Euro and Sterling, both Aussie and Kiwi was range trading. Although, Aussie has potential rate hiking in this week, both Aussie and Kiwi was still under pressure. Technical view:  Major support of Aussie would be 0.7170 and then 0.7080; the resistance level would be 0.7280; Kiwi dollar: the next support of Kiwi is 0.62, as 61.8% FIBO retracement form the low at Sep.2003 to the high at Feb. this year; and then is 0.61. Resistance level would be 0.6330.

Trading range: AUD/USD: 0.7280-0.7120; NZD/USD: 0.6330-0.6200

感謝你~