简单的BOLL RSI－－当心欧欧回调，美元还没投降

	原帖由 得道愚公 于 2006-1-5 19:16 发表 欧元振荡上行趋势将是06年上半年主基调. 同意

	EUR/USD saw very good two-action today but prices were surprisingly range-bound after two days of big moves. Strong demand was seen on dips to the 1.2170s during the North American session while Middle Eastern sellers were rumored in the 1.2105/10 area. Profit-taking ahead of US payrolls was the dominant flow early in the session but jitters over potential Chinese reserve diversification helped underpin the EUR as the session wore on. US non-manufacturing ISM was quite firm today, coming in above forecasts at 59.8. Economists had expected 58.5. A big drop in US jobless claims today helped remind dealers of the potential for an "upside surprise" for tomorrow"s payrolls. A healthy gain of 215K is forecast; a weak figure will cement expectations that the Fed is set to wind up its tightening cycle late this month which should allow EUR/USD to continue its rally. 1.2150 and 1.2200 barriers are stumbling blocks along the way while the 1.2060/70 area is now pivotal support on dips. Stops are building in the 1.2050 area. --Jamie.Coleman@*.com/rs [IFR Forex Watch] [EUR/USD OUTLOOK]