1.0650 LONG USD/CAD 3090x4 UNITS。Buy Market Filled。
Trading Range： 1.0600 -- 1.0700。
由于原油及DoE报告的影响，U/C跌至1.0650。相应的平仓位下调至：1.07。
短线注意风险，只要EUR还维持在1.35之下，就还有希望。。。
1.0605是跌破通道的顶部，下方的1.0665及1.0550是关键支撑。。。
重点关注，加拿大及美国的数据，短期将给CAD以方向性的指示。。。
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1.0605 is the broken down channel top below with key support then seen at 1.0565 and 1.0550.
On the data front Canadian industrial product and raw materials indexes are due today with GDP data for April released tomorrow. Focus south of the border remains on the FOMC. While the Fed is widely expected to leave rates at 5.25% market players will be watching the wording of the accompanying statement closely.
USD/CAD: Large M&A Deal Attributed To Loonie"s Surge
New York, June 28.
Talk in the market place is that the surge in CAD overnight had less to do with legging back into CAD/JPY positions abandoned over recent days, and more to do with a $5.5bn M&A deal between Russia"s Norilsk and Canada"s Lionore. A couple of French names have been spied in the market as aggressive sellers, thought to have the order, and according to sources the deal expires tonight at 8.00PM.
Whatever the reason the drop in USD/CAD has got the techies all abuzz with the break of the trend channel bottom, spot has dropped to 1.0615, and tech support is seen at 1.0600.
Trading is Believing，you are wrong，suggest you stop all trading，because you don't know how to do trading。
原帖由 在这里不通知声 于 2007-6-28 10:52 发表
Trading is Believing，you are wrong，suggest you stop all trading，because you don't know how to do trading。
Oh, yeah? :cool:Give me some reasons, then I'll stop.
Tell me where I'm wrong, and tell me how you do trade, then I'll learn from you. OK? or just shut up!
原帖由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-29 00:23 发表
Oh, yeah? :cool:Give me some reasons, then I'll stop.
Tell me where I'm wrong, and tell me how you do trade, then I'll learn from you. OK? or just shut up!
:D
原帖由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-29 00:23 发表
Oh, yeah? :cool:Give me some reasons, then I'll stop.
Tell me where I'm wrong, and tell me how you do trade, then I'll learn from you. OK? or just shut up!
It's no problem for me to shut up，I don't care whether you continue or not， money is yours，time will tell you the underlying reasons。
[ 本帖最后由 在这里不通知声 于 2007-6-29 02:07 编辑 ]
wei shen me dou yong yingyua ,ankanbudongyingyuzenmebana ??
原帖由 在这里不通知声 于 2007-6-28 13:02 发表
It's no problem for me to shut up，I am not care whether you continue or not， money is yours，time will tell you the underlying reasons。
Yes, It will. Time will tell us everything. Oil is going up, CAD rate hike...
I know U/C probably will be parity, even 0.96. So, what?
Even though, you have your own idea, why not speak out? Or just lie there and murmuring...
[ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-28 13:46 编辑 ]
1.0600 LONG USD/CAD 3090x8 UNITS。Buy Market Filled。
Trading Range： 1.0550 -- 1.0650。
建差不多了。。。还有最后一单，然后就是等喽。。。。:cool:
还是今天爽！不论涨跌，都好！就怕他不死不活的。。。
[ 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2007-6-28 13:34 编辑 ]
USD/CAD: Loonie Likes FOMC Comments, Pops To New Session High
New York, June 28.
It is always difficult to comprehend what was going through the "group collective" mind ahead of the FOMC meeting, as each of us has their own view, and imbues the ensuing comments with our own expectations. Spot USD/CAD probed below 1.0600 for the first time in two weeks, hitting 1.0598 at the low. The Fed comments focused on inflationary risks, and resource utilization pressures as future inflation risks; hawkish enough, however the collective mind felt otherwise, or maybe just one trader felt otherwise and decided to back ideas up with action. On the day USD/CAD has traded heavy under the influence of the Norilsk/Lionore M&A flow, and the heavy buying of July 17 1.0500 CAD calls, presumed to be the same French bank that was aggressive in the spot markets. When spot slides, and strikes are close to market, options traders have to buy more spot CAD to hedge delta, which puts more pressure on spot.
Tech traders are looking at this 1.0595/05 level as potentially a good support area which is one of the reasons why price action down here is "sticky", RSI is also stretched on the hourly at 22.0, so spot is trading very apprehensively in the 1.0600-10 range. There is a definite risk that the techies get long, and the M&A boys don't care about oversold levels, the key to the downside remains the June 4 1.0550 low, and if spot closes below 1.0610-15, at least one tech trader is recommending a sale as they say the channel bottom has been violated.
I hate M&A， but in a certain way I'm kind of like them。。。:D Just don't play too much of the game, or it'll get hurt.